[AusNOG] Simon Hackett's slide deck from AusNOG 2014 with added audio

[Paul Jones]

That’s a nice logical argument, but do you have any evidence to support it? We’ve had a saturated ADSL market now for a few years, but I still can’t see any evidence of slowing usage. Or rather, the rate of increase doesn’t seem to be slowing. Personally my guess was that it would slow 50% or so, but I appear to be wrong. Which I guess means I forfit the right to ever run an ISP ☺


Paul.


From: AusNOG [mailto:ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net] On Behalf Of Paul Wallace
Sent: Wednesday, 10 September 2014 12:44 PM
To: Darren Moss
Cc: ausnog at lists.ausnog.net
Subject: Re: [AusNOG] Simon Hackett's slide deck from AusNOG 2014 with added audio

Yes .. that was the line Stephen Conroy pushed!

Made in the total absence of any proper technical advice.

Made by way of pure guesswork.

The line is based upon the flawed assertion that, due to history only ever showing a demand for more and more fixed line bandwidth then the future must demand, inexorably, not only more of the same but also via a continuation of the logarithmically  upwards shape to the demand curve!

It was only ever convenient political spin.

You could see that from the beginning after Conroy slagged HFC, a service (that the CIO of the largest cable co on earth told me last week) will reach 1Gb via docsis 3.1!

Sadly these sorts of shenanigans should be expected when the politicians enter the business world .. long after the business world is established.

-P

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.ausnog.net/pipermail/ausnog/attachments/20140910/9a630e77/attachment.html>