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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D;mso-fareast-language:EN-US">That’s a nice logical argument, but do you have any evidence to support it? We’ve had a saturated ADSL market now for a few years,
but I still can’t see any evidence of slowing usage. Or rather, the rate of increase doesn’t seem to be slowing. Personally my guess was that it would slow 50% or so, but I appear to be wrong. Which I guess means I forfit the right to ever run an ISP
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D;mso-fareast-language:EN-US">Paul.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"">From:</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif""> AusNOG [mailto:ausnog-bounces@lists.ausnog.net]
<b>On Behalf Of </b>Paul Wallace<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, 10 September 2014 12:44 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> Darren Moss<br>
<b>Cc:</b> ausnog@lists.ausnog.net<br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [AusNOG] Simon Hackett's slide deck from AusNOG 2014 with added audio<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Yes .. that was the line Stephen Conroy pushed!<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Made in the total absence of any proper technical advice.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Made by way of pure guesswork.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">The line is based upon the flawed assertion that, due to history only ever showing a demand for more and more fixed line bandwidth then the future must demand, inexorably, not only more of the same but also via a continuation of the logarithmically
upwards shape to the demand curve!<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">It was only ever convenient political spin.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">You could see that from the beginning after Conroy slagged HFC, a service (that the CIO of the largest cable co on earth told me last week) will reach 1Gb via docsis 3.1!<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Sadly these sorts of shenanigans should be expected when the politicians enter the business world .. long after the business world is established.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:12.0pt">-P<br>
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