[AusNOG] [v6z] Why you shouldn't worry about switching to IPv6 now

[Skeeve Stevens]

I'd suggest 5 years at the outset.

Problem is how people measure time.  Look how old the iPad is… 1 year… iPhone, 3?  A LOT is happening in a very short time these days… Ramp-up to v6 will be fast, but the trailing legacy kit will hang around for a while… but not much longer than 5 I would think as most kit is turning over quite quickly.

5 years ago we were still selling dialup… when was the last time you saw a modem?  Yes, I am sure some of you have… but really… in someones home, being used to connect to an ISP?  It would have to be EXTREMELY rare.


...Skeeve



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On 15/04/11 11:36 AM, "Michael Biber" <mbiber at ipv6forum.com.au<mailto:mbiber at ipv6forum.com.au>> wrote:

Been saying for years that IPv4 will endure while the pain of supporting
both protocols is manageable (be that cost, NAT, security, troubleshooting,
OAM or wherever the pain exists). There will come a time when it is no
longer bearable and wholesale conversion to v6 only will become the norm.
Optimistically...5 years, ... pessimistically? ...maybe 15 years. Vint Cerf
once said that he expected v4 to endure in the 'net for a further 40 years.

Mike Biber


-----Original Message-----
From: ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net<mailto:ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net>
[mailto:ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net] On Behalf Of Lincoln Dale
Sent: Friday, 15 April 2011 9:02 AM
To: Scott Howard
Cc: ausnog at ausnog.net<mailto:ausnog at ausnog.net>
Subject: Re: [AusNOG] [v6z] Why you shouldn't worry about switching to IPv6
now

On 15/04/2011, at 8:12 AM, Scott Howard wrote:
Ask yourself which you find more disturbing - this article, or the that I
can count the number of ISPs in Australia that are even close to being IPv6
ready on one hand.


the real point is that with IPv4 exhaustion, 'new' sites on the internet may
be IPv6-only addresses.

the article author seems to assume that every ISP will magically provide
means for IPv4-only customers to connect to IPv6-only sites - for those
customers that aren't dual-stack CPE capable.
i think thats a damn big assumption.


cheers,

lincoln.
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