[AusNOG] IPv4

[Mark Andrews]

In message <42BFD036A64959438168E04FE15DFBC212DFBD48 at NDC01EXCH.nextdc.local>, B
evan Slattery writes:
> Sorry Mark.  You said IPv4 has been "effectively" gone for more than a
> decade. That statement is incorrect.
> 
> You may have known there was going to be a crunch in 10 years time,
> particularly when the RIR's unfairly advantage existing members and sat on
> their hands, sure.
> 
> But the fact is that over half the address space that wasn't "gifted" in
> the early stages remained unallocated in 2003.
> 
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Ipv4-exhaust.svg
> 
> [b]

Which still didn't mean that it wasn't a dead end technology.  10
years ago I had IPv6 at home via HE (signed up in Dec 2002).  10
years ago it was clear that there wasn't enough IPv4 addresses for
the house holds in the world let alone all the people.  10 years
ago I was asking my home ISP for IPv6 connectivity in the vain hope
that it might prompt them to be forward thinking.

Nothing could save IPv4 once it became a consumer technology which
it was in 2003.  It was not designed to allow everyone in the world
to be able to connect with their own machine.

2003 was +10 years after the clear need for a IPv4 replacement was
seen.  We are now at 20+ years after it was clear that IPv4 would
run out of addresses.

Mark

> On 4/03/13 7:55 AM, "Mark Andrews" <marka at isc.org> wrote:
> 
> >
> >In message <CD59FA6C.4301D%bevan at slattery.net.au>, Bevan Slattery writes:
> >>
> >>
> >> On 3/03/13 11:51 PM, "Mark Andrews" <marka at isc.org> wrote:
> >>
> >> >
> >> >In message <2202304f330f8b23da59c2edd117b412 at mail.gmail.com>, Jared
> >>Hirst
> >> >write
> >> >s:
> >> >> I was not even given a option for v6 3 years ago when I joined
> >> >>APNIC=3D85. So=3D
> >> >>  I
> >> >> am unsure how v4 was gone 5 years ago, if it was then new players
> >>should
> >> >> have been educated and forced to take and use v6 3 years ago=3D85
> >>instead
> >> >>the=3D
> >> >> re
> >> >> has been no forced take up?
> >> >
> >> >IPv4 has been effectively gone for more than a decade.
> >>
> >> That's simply incorrect.
> >
> >A decade ago we knew we would run out of IPv4 about now.  As a long
> >term strategy it was dead.  There was a couple of years in the error
> >bars but it was clear that we would run out.  You could ignore IPv6
> >or you could ensure that you were ready for the eventual run out
> >of IPv4 by getting IPv6 connectivity and working through the issues.
> >
> >5 years ago the estimates for IPv4 run out had error bars of a
> >couple of months.
> >
> >Mark
> >--
> >Mark Andrews, ISC
> >1 Seymour St., Dundas Valley, NSW 2117, Australia
> >PHONE: +61 2 9871 4742                 INTERNET: marka at isc.org
> 
> 
> 
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-- 
Mark Andrews, ISC
1 Seymour St., Dundas Valley, NSW 2117, Australia
PHONE: +61 2 9871 4742                 INTERNET: marka at isc.org