[AusNOG] My Predictions for the ISP Industry

[Skeeve Stevens]

Actually it is far worse that just us Noel.

APNIC, not .au is out of IPv4.

This means 1.2 billion Indians, 1.4 billion Chinese, and the hundreds of
millions of others in the 50+ economies APNIC supports.

I think 3 billion people being out of IPv4 will bring forward the adoption
of IPv6 - but it will still be a while.

With IPv6 being turned on permanently on the main websites of Facebook,
Google, Bing, etc... in June, this will start to drive many businesses to
follow... and when v4 starts to break, have billions of people yelling.

Australia is nothing in the scheme of things here.  There are estimated 500
million new people going to be joining the internet/social media in Asia
this year with the advent of cheap smart phones... it is things like this
which force/push along adoption of IPv6, not anything we do in our
backwater of 22million.

*Skeeve Stevens, CEO*
eintellego Pty Ltd
skeeve at eintellego.net ; www.eintellego.net

Phone: 1300 753 383 ; Fax: (+612) 8572 9954

Cell +61 (0)414 753 383 ; skype://skeeve

facebook.com/eintellego

twitter.com/networkceoau ; www.linkedin.com/in/skeeve

PO Box 7726, Baulkham Hills, NSW 1755 Australia

The Experts Who The Experts Call
Juniper - Cisco – Brocade - IBM



On Wed, Mar 14, 2012 at 12:44, Noel Butler <noel.butler at ausics.net> wrote:

> **
> On Tue, 2012-03-13 at 15:52 +0000, Mark Delany wrote:
>
> > But, it will take most ISPs a year or two to fully integrate IPv6 into
> > their networks, and those who haven't started doing it yet, might as well
> > be planning to shut down their businesses because in the next year or two,
> > it will be too late...
>
> Really? In which decade do you think that facebook.com, yahoo.com,twitter.com and google.com will stop returning an A RR? And what is
> their incentive for doing so?
>
> You need to explain why a business would voluntarily stop listening to
> IPv4 traffic and why ISPs would stop carrying it.
>
> If you have no explanation for that, then what has any ISP got to lose
> by just carrying IPv4? After all, it gets to everywhere and probably
> will do so for a very long time into the future.
>
>
>
> +1
>
> The whole world is not going to start using ipv6 overnight just because
> .au is out of ipv4, let alone turn off ipv4, especially when most the world
> still doesn't use ipv6, Australia would soon be an isolated country, in
> more ways than one.
>
>
>
>
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>
>
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