[AusNOG] My Predictions for the ISP Industry

Paul Brooks pbrooks-ausnog at layer10.com.au
Wed Mar 14 08:28:09 EST 2012


On 14/03/2012 2:52 AM, Mark Delany wrote:
>> But, it will take most ISPs a year or two to fully integrate IPv6 into
>> their networks, and those who haven't started doing it yet, might as well
>> be planning to shut down their businesses because in the next year or two,
>> it will be too late...
> Really? In which decade do you think that facebook.com, yahoo.com,
> twitter.com and google.com will stop returning an A RR? And what is
> their incentive for doing so?

Its not a question of stopping returning an A RR.
Its a question of when they'll start to return AAAA RRs, when queried for one.
Especially when the AAAA query is within an IPv6 packet.
The answer is June 6th this year - http://www.worldipv6launch.org/

Dual-stack hosts query for a AAAA record first, and then fall back to querying for an
A record if they don't get a reply. The trick is to make sure they don't receive a
query for an A RR in the first place, because if they do - the customers ISP has failed.

Its not Facebook and Yahoo that have failed here - its Bigpond, Optusnet, and all the
other ISPs that aren't yet handing out IPv6 addresses in their DHCP responses.



>
> You need to explain why a business would voluntarily stop listening to
> IPv4 traffic and why ISPs would stop carrying it.
Mark - this is all wrong. Nobody has to stop listening or carrying IPv4. They just
have to start listening to and carrying IPv6 as well.


>
> If you have no explanation for that, then what has any ISP got to lose
> by just carrying IPv4? After all, it gets to everywhere and probably
> will do so for a very long time into the future.
>
> The big problem is that turning off IPv4 has no value-add and turning
> on IPv6 has no value-add, so no one cares to do either. Ergo,
> IPv4-only systems will continue to work for the foreseeable
> future. That means there is zero imperative to support IPv6.
>
> I'll be proved wrong when any major website discards their A RR web
> site and only advertise an AAAA web-site. Any volunteers? Apnic? Arin?
> ICANN? eintellego.net? Jut curious. If IPv6 is such a hit, when do you
> guys plan to drop your IPv4 RR?
>
>
> Mark.
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