[AusNOG] NBN Legislation

[Bevan Slattery]

I think it's really important to note the report isn't against any form of fibre NBN.  It really highlights the need for a cost benefit analysis.

Cheers

[b]

-----Original Message-----
From: ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net [mailto:ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net] On Behalf Of Bill Walker
Sent: Tuesday, 30 November 2010 11:52 AM
To: ausnog at lists.ausnog.net
Subject: Re: [AusNOG] NBN Legislation

 The full study is available here:

 http://sites.google.com/a/commcham.com/www/publications/Overselling_Fibre_1127.pdf?attredirects=0


 On Tue, 30 Nov 2010 13:45:26 +1300, Bill Walker <bill at wjw.co.nz> wrote:
> Anyone read this, it questions the worth of NBN, thoughts?
>
>
> 
> http://www.stuff.co.nz/technology/digital-living/4403408/Benefits-of-b
> roadband-questioned
>
>  Benefits of broadband questioned
>
>  The Australian federal government has been accused of misusing 
> research  to build the case for the national broadband network in an 
> international  study that finds the claimed benefits have been 
> ''grossly overstated''.
>
>  Released in London before the vote today on legislation paving the 
> way  for the NBN, the study found that the evidence to support claims 
> made  for fibre-to-the-home networks was ''surprisingly weak'' and 
> cited  Australia as a key example.
>
>  ''All else equal, faster is better,'' noted the study, prepared by 
> the  British telecommunications consultant Robert Kenny and Charles 
> Kenny  from the US Centre for Global Development. ''But faster 
> technologies  don't always triumph; think of passenger hovercraft, 
> maglev trains, and  supersonic airliners.
>
>  ''Concorde (if it hadn't retired) would still be the fastest 
> passenger  aircraft today, having first flown in 1969. It turned out 
> that the  incremental benefits of speed to most customers were not 
> worth the extra  cost.''
>
>  South Korea, cited as the world leader in providing fibre to homes,  
> enjoyed productivity growth of 7.6 per cent per capita per year in the  
> decade before it began the program and 3.8 per cent in the decade 
> since.
>
>  ''Many factors played into the growth slowdown,'' the study says. 
> ''But
>  maybe the massive increase in online gaming, facilitated by the  
> broadband revolution, played a role.''
>
>  In launching Australia's broadband network in 2009, Prime Minister  
> Kevin Rudd said 78 per cent of the productivity gains in service  
> businesses and 85 per cent in manufacturing flowed from information 
> and  communications technology.
>
>  The study traced this claim back to two papers from Australia's  
> Communications Department referring to gains of 59 to 78 per cent and 
> 65  to 85 per cent.
>
>  ''What was an upper bound in the research has become a mid-point in  
> Rudd's speech,'' it says.
>
>  ''But more importantly, the research was looking at all technological  
> factors. Thus the figures cited include the benefits of everything 
> from  biotechnology to the rise of containerised transport.''
>
>  Also, the research cited by Mr Rudd covered the periods 1985 to 2001  
> and 1984 to 2002, ''when the internet was in its infancy and broadband  
> was pre-natal''.
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