[AusNOG] NBN Commsday Presentation

[Bevan Slattery]

http://www.cisco.com/c/en/us/solutions/collateral/service-provider/visual-networking-index-vni/mobile-white-paper-c11-520862.html

Mobile data traffic will reach the following milestones within the next 5 ye
ars:

●   Monthly global mobile data traffic will be 49 exabytes by 2021, and
annual traffic will exceed half a zettabyte.

●   Mobile will represent 20 percent of total IP traffic by 2021.

●   The number of mobile-connected devices per capita will reach 1.5 by
2021.

●   The average global mobile connection speed will surpass 20 Mbps by 2021.

●   The total number of smartphones (including phablets) will be over 50
percent of global devices and connections by 2021.

●   Smartphones will surpass four-fifths of mobile data traffic (86
percent) by 2021.

●   4G connections will have the highest share (53 percent) of total mobile
connections by 2021.

●   4G traffic will be more than three-quarters of the total mobile traffic
by 2021.

●   More traffic was offloaded from cellular networks (on to Wi-Fi) than
remained on cellular networks in 2016.

●   Over three-fourths (78 percent) of the world’s mobile data traffic will
be video by 2021.

On 20 April 2017 at 12:49, Mark Delany <g2x at juliet.emu.st> wrote:

> > to deliver, but it is not same.   Growth of wireless broadband may be
> > only good thing which is happening in Australia. It may create some real
> > competition for NBN and makes it move.
>
> People love to say this, but according to the latest ACCC
> telecommunications report, 97+% of traffic is delivered over fixed
> line networks and that ratio has more or less remained the same for
> the last 5 years.
>
> You really would need to start wearing a tin-foil hat if there was
> enough RF in the air to delivery 30 times as much data over wireless
> as there is today.
>
> And of course fixed consumption will not stand still even as wireless
> capacity grows...
>
>
> Mark.
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> AusNOG at lists.ausnog.net
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>
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