[AusNOG] Geoff reckons APNIC has about two and a half years of IPv4 left

[Damian Guppy]

I think it is just a side effect of how he is projecting address
exhaustion. He is predicting address exhaustion based on the current
allocation rate, but does not factor that last year APNIC activated its
IANA returned addresses policy which doubled the address allocation rate. I
think if we looked at just the allocation rate of 103.0.0.0/8 it would not
be quite as disastrous.

--Damian

*Disclaimer* I just skimmed the article, so if he addresses this point then
sorry in advance. I see he does make mention of some entities having more
than a /22 in the pool, including one entity having some 15k addresses
total for an unknown reason, so maybe there is a couple groups doing
'dummy' registrations to hoard addresses.

On Fri, Aug 7, 2015 at 10:35 PM, Mark Newton <newton at atdot.dotat.org> wrote:

> Last /8 analysis
>
> https://blog.apnic.net/2015/08/07/ipv4-address-exhaustion-in-apnic/
>
> (I’m not sure how that can happen, though: if each APNIC member gets 1024
> addresses from the last /8, surely it’d only run out if APNIC had 16,384
> members? Which… it doesn’t? Are people in APNIC economies creating
> corporate entities to become APNIC members specifically to get addresses?)
>
>   - mark
>
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> AusNOG mailing list
> AusNOG at lists.ausnog.net
> http://lists.ausnog.net/mailman/listinfo/ausnog
>
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.ausnog.net/pipermail/ausnog/attachments/20150810/6ae2ec30/attachment.html>