[AusNOG] Twin solar storms head towards Earth

Greg McLennan mclennan at internode.on.net
Fri Sep 12 19:31:23 EST 2014


Well its a good time to be heading to Alaska and watching the sky
tonight.

Below is the original IPS warning email I received for the SOL event.

IPS FLARE ALERT - PART B
ESTIMATED END TIME OF FLARE
ISSUE TIME: Wed Sep 10 17:59:17 UTC 2014
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Current X-ray Flux : 1.31e-04 (X1.3)
Maximum X-ray Flux of 1.66e-04 (X1.7) at 17:46 UT
Estimated Flare End (below M1.0 level) at 19:36 UT

Further Information Will Be Issued At the End of the Event
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Australian Space Forecast Centre
IPS Radio and Space Services
(61)(2)9213 8010 (phone)
(61)(2)9213 8061 (fax)
asfc at ips.gov.au
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060
_______________________________________________
ips-flare-alert mailing list
ips-flare-alert at ips.gov.au
http://www.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-flare-alert

On 12/09/2014 7:01 PM, Curtis Bayne wrote:
>> The CME arrival is expected to be midnight tonight AEST. Auroras
> predicted to be visible from Southern Australian regions - Crow 
> Eaters and Taswegians lucky.
> 
> Those dirty southerners always get the best light shows. Damn you, 
> Aurora Australis.
> 
> I hope all the night owls have their cameras out tonight! If this 
> isn't a fizzer, then I'll be watching Twitter and Flickr for the 
> inevitable beauty :)
> 
> On Fri, Sep 12, 2014 at 6:54 PM, Paul Brooks 
> <pbrooks-ausnog at layer10.com.au> wrote:
> 
>> On 12/09/2014 6:40 PM, Curtis Bayne wrote:
>> 
>> If you're looking for something amusing to entertain yourself 
>> with this fine Friday evening, this particular topic is HOT on 
>> all the prepper forums at the moment. Enjoy the hyperbole :)
>> 
>> For what it's worth, the BOM have a space weather department, 
>> available at http://www.ips.gov.au/
>> 
>> Another blip on the radar, I am sure. I hope we see auroras here 
>> though - that would be a treat!
>> 
>> 
>> ...and right on cue on the www.ips.gov.au site: "Outage due to 
>> power failure. Some datasets unavailable."
>> 
>> (relax - this was 6th August, well before the current CME - but 
>> it made me chuckle before I noticed the date!)
>> 
>> The CME arrival is expected to be midnight tonight AEST. Auroras 
>> predicted to be visible from Southern Australian regions - Crow 
>> Eaters and Taswegians lucky. I was lucky enough to see an aurora 
>> (dark brown/purple) from suburbs of Adelaide when I lived there 
>> in my youth. Back then we didn't have such good visibility that 
>> the protons were incoming.
>> 
>> P.
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> On Fri, Sep 12, 2014 at 6:29 PM, Paul Brooks < 
>> pbrooks-ausnog at layer10.com.au> wrote:
>> 
>>> And in the its-all-in-the-timing department.....published 2 
>>> hours ago
>>> 
>>> 
>>> http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/environment/twin-solar-storms-head-towards-earth-20140912-10g5z6.html
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> 
Small risk for a possibly interesting weekend if these cause EM issues
>>> with power grids etc. If you experience problems with radio
>>> and satellite comms, please post here and let us know!
>>> 
>>> "Two big explosions on the surface of the sun will cause a 
>>> moderate to strong geomagnetic storm on Earth in the coming 
>>> days, possibly disrupting radio and satellite communications, 
>>> scientists say.
>>> 
>>> The unusual storm is not likely to wreak havoc with personal 
>>> electronics but may cause colourful nighttime auroras, or 
>>> displays of the Northern Lights, late Friday and early 
>>> Saturday.
>>> 
>>> "We don't expect any unmanageable impacts to national 
>>> infrastructure from these solar events at this time but we are 
>>> watching these events closely," said Thomas Berger, director
>>> of the Space Weather Prediction Centre at the National Oceanic
>>>  and Atmospheric Administration. ....
>>> 
>>> The National Weather Service has alerted power grid operators 
>>> and the Federal Emergency Management Agency, just in case.
>>> 
>>> The strength of the storm pales in comparison to major 
>>> geomagnetic storms of years past, such as the 1859 Carrington 
>>> event that wiped out power across a swath of Canada.
>>> 
>>> It is also weaker than a near-miss geomagnetic storm in July 
>>> 2012 that NASA scientists said could have knocked Earth's 
>>> technology back at least 150 years.
>>> 
>>> That storm didn't cause mass damage because the fast-moving 
>>> energized particles were not directed straight at Earth.
>>> 
>>> "The events that just occurred over the last 24 hours were 
>>> Earth-directed, they are just not that big," said William 
>>> Murtagh, program c
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> _______________________________________________ AusNOG mailing 
>>> list AusNOG at lists.ausnog.net 
>>> http://lists.ausnog.net/mailman/listinfo/ausnog
>>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
> 
> 
> 
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