[AusNOG] Getting there from here (was: Re: My Predictions for the ISP Industry)

[Noel Butler]

On Wed, 2012-03-14 at 12:18 +1030, Mark Newton wrote:

> On Wed, Mar 14, 2012 at 11:44:40AM +1000, Noel Butler wrote:
> 
>  > > Really? In which decade do you think that facebook.com, yahoo.com,
>  > > twitter.com and google.com will stop returning an A RR? And what is
>  > > their incentive for doing so?
>  > > You need to explain why a business would voluntarily stop listening to
>  > > IPv4 traffic and why ISPs would stop carrying it.
>  > 
>  > +1  
>  > The whole world is not going to start using ipv6 overnight just
>  > because  .au is out of ipv4, let alone turn off ipv4,
> 
> I'm a little bit bothered that ISP professionals in 2012 seem to 
> seriously believe that an IPv6 deployment involves disabling IPv4.
> 
> How widespread is this misbelief?
> 
> I'd fully expect that legacy IPv4 will stick around for the 
> forseeable future.  It'll suck, and be heavily multi-NATted, and
> fewer and fewer people will use it;  But it isn't going away for
> quite a while.
> 
>  


My point was Mark, once we run out of ipv4, long before the rest of the
world, and end users here can only be issued with ipv6, with the
majority of the world not using ipv6, it will be a lonely place, unless
ISP's configure kinda like nat 6 to 4 since 4 is the dominant. 
I don't for one second believe ipv4 will even look like being vanished
for another decade or more.


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