[AusNOG] NBN Legislation
Bill Walker
bill at wjw.co.nz
Tue Nov 30 11:45:26 EST 2010
Anyone read this, it questions the worth of NBN, thoughts?
http://www.stuff.co.nz/technology/digital-living/4403408/Benefits-of-broadband-questioned
Benefits of broadband questioned
The Australian federal government has been accused of misusing research
to build the case for the national broadband network in an international
study that finds the claimed benefits have been ''grossly overstated''.
Released in London before the vote today on legislation paving the way
for the NBN, the study found that the evidence to support claims made
for fibre-to-the-home networks was ''surprisingly weak'' and cited
Australia as a key example.
''All else equal, faster is better,'' noted the study, prepared by the
British telecommunications consultant Robert Kenny and Charles Kenny
from the US Centre for Global Development. ''But faster technologies
don't always triumph; think of passenger hovercraft, maglev trains, and
supersonic airliners.
''Concorde (if it hadn't retired) would still be the fastest passenger
aircraft today, having first flown in 1969. It turned out that the
incremental benefits of speed to most customers were not worth the extra
cost.''
South Korea, cited as the world leader in providing fibre to homes,
enjoyed productivity growth of 7.6 per cent per capita per year in the
decade before it began the program and 3.8 per cent in the decade since.
''Many factors played into the growth slowdown,'' the study says. ''But
maybe the massive increase in online gaming, facilitated by the
broadband revolution, played a role.''
In launching Australia's broadband network in 2009, Prime Minister
Kevin Rudd said 78 per cent of the productivity gains in service
businesses and 85 per cent in manufacturing flowed from information and
communications technology.
The study traced this claim back to two papers from Australia's
Communications Department referring to gains of 59 to 78 per cent and 65
to 85 per cent.
''What was an upper bound in the research has become a mid-point in
Rudd's speech,'' it says.
''But more importantly, the research was looking at all technological
factors. Thus the figures cited include the benefits of everything from
biotechnology to the rise of containerised transport.''
Also, the research cited by Mr Rudd covered the periods 1985 to 2001
and 1984 to 2002, ''when the internet was in its infancy and broadband
was pre-natal''.
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