[AusNOG] NBN: "i want a pony! but can I afford it"

[Grahame Lynch]

Genuine question here

If aggregation is such a possible and desirable outcome in the NBN world why
isn't it happening now with Band 3 exchanges? I accept the economics of
DSLAMs in band 3 are poor for individual access seekers but presumably a
wholesaler who aggregated demand could make a case for Band 3 LSS
deployments, especially given the complaints about TW. To the best of my
knowledge the last 4,500 of 5,000 ESAs remain unsullied by competitive
DSLAMs to this day....

Given the obvious opportunity for aggregation now and the reluctance of
anyone to bite the bull by the horns, what specific drivers will encourage
this to change when the implied "minimum bar" in terms of "volume"  transit
and backhaul requirements in regional Australia (ie higher speeds, higher
quotas) actually increase dramatically? (along with implied access cost -
$25-30 NBN entry price compared with $2.50 LSS price today).
I can't actually see where the incentive lies for a smaller carrier to stay
in the market or to specifically go to regional Australia when they don't
now....and I am aware of the new Nextgen cable (is that the solution???)
On 15 August 2010 19:17, Paul Brooks <pbrooks-ausnog at layer10.com.au> wrote:

>   On 14/08/2010 8:50 PM, Matthew Moyle-Croft wrote:
>
>
>  On 14/08/2010, at 6:49 PM, Paul Brooks wrote:
>
>
> My main concern is not actually the NBN access network portion. My main
> concern is that most of the smaller ISPs won't have engaged with NBNCo and
> set up wholesale access arrangements, and set up network backhaul links to
> the POIs as they are established,
>
>
> Just like now a lot of smaller ISPs will purchase access to the last mile
> via aggregators.  A lot of people buy TW tails via Optus or buy Optus via
> yet another layer of aggregators.   I don't see this changing.   It'll come
> down to individual levels of sophistication and an evaluation of "build vs
> buy".    But I'm pretty sure that any ISP who has customers will find a way
> of keeping that customer.   Aggregators will also want to keep their slice
> of the pie so will help ISPs who use their services.
>
> Nod - I hope people are engaging with aggregators that are  engaging with
> NBNco then :-)
>
> P.
>
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