[AusNOG] What?

[Tom Wright]

The original article refers to "research " and "experts" -
presumably the press release (1) and study (2) conducted by the
"Nemertes Research" company.

The article seems to make reference to a lot of key words
mentioned in the study I've linked to below.

Although, the article in the Sunday Times states
"...a report being compiled by Nemertes Research..." -
"Ritter’s report will warn.." Suggesting that perhaps there's
some 'other' report being compiled, and their quotes from
"Ted Ritter" are taken from that 'other' report; its a little
dubious.

The study also uses the term 'brownouts', but says this: "One of
the greatest challenges we face is the perception that our model
predicts an Internet failure. This is incorrect.  Rather, it
predicts the potential for Internet brownouts when access demand
is greater than supply.", and then goes on to say "For example,
some access operators are putting caps on usage." - which has
been the case in Australia for many many years.

Finally, in the study's conclusion, they specifically state "Once
again, none of this means the Internet will abruptly stop working
(as some of the media and industry experts inaccurately portrayed
from our findings last year). Instead, the “slowdown” will be in
the area of innovation."

(1) http://www.nemertes.com/press_releases/nemertes_press_release_stress_fractures_internet_2012
(2) http://www.nemertes.com/internet_interrupted_why_architectural_limitations_will_fracture_net

Good old Advertiser, syndicating more rubbish!


On 27/04/2009, at 1:41 PM, Scott Howard wrote:

> The source of it all is an (apparent) release by Landel Hobbs, the  
> COO of Time Warner - http://a.longreply.com/109511
>
> "According to industry analysts, the infrastructure may not be able  
> to accommodate the explosion of online content by 2012. This could  
> result in Internet brownouts."
>
> He gives no definition of what an "Internet brownout" is, so  
> obviously the press has decided to come up with their own...
>
> It's got nothing to do with IPv4, just with a US provider trying to  
> justify their move into volume-based pricing.
>
>   Scott.
>
>
>
> On Sun, Apr 26, 2009 at 8:04 PM, Matthew Moyle-Croft <mmc at internode.com.au 
> > wrote:
> http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,25391725-5006301,00.html
>
> "INTERNET users will face annoying "brownouts" that will freeze  
> their web browsers when capacity runs out in cyberspace as early as  
> next year, new research says.
>
> Experts predict consumer demand, growing at about 60 per cent a  
> year, could outstrip supply as early as next year because more  
> people are working online and using bandwidth-hungry video and music  
> websites. "
>
> I'm _assuming_ this is something to do with IPv4 address running  
> out?   But I'm not sure.  Not at all.
>
> MMC
> -- 
> Matthew Moyle-Croft
> Networks, Internode/Agile
> Level 5, 162 Grenfell Street, Adelaide, SA 5000 Australia
> Email: mmc at internode.com.au    Web: http://www.on.net
>
> _______________________________________________
> AusNOG mailing list
> AusNOG at lists.ausnog.net
> http://lists.ausnog.net/mailman/listinfo/ausnog
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> AusNOG mailing list
> AusNOG at lists.ausnog.net
> http://lists.ausnog.net/mailman/listinfo/ausnog

-- 
Kind Regards,

Tom Wright
Internode Network Operations
P: +61 8 8228 2999
W: http://www.internode.on.net