<p dir="ltr">I suspect if there's a grain of truth to this (and Netflix have made specific declarations to the contrary) the available regionalised content availability and pricing model will afford ISPs every leisure to address changes to user behaviour. As an aside, I suspect the number of Australian folks who want Netflix content and don't either have Netflix or torrent what they want is pretty circumscribed. </p>
<p dir="ltr">Geordie</p>
<div class="gmail_quote">On 25/05/2014 5:28 PM, "Skeeve Stevens" <<a href="mailto:skeeve%2Bausnog@eintellegonetworks.com">skeeve+ausnog@eintellegonetworks.com</a>> wrote:<br type="attribution"><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
<div dir="ltr">Hey all,<div><br></div><div>The Australian has reported (<a href="http://www.news.com.au/technology/online/how-the-australian-launch-of-internet-streaming-service-netflix-will-change-your-life/story-fnjwmwrh-1226930807121" target="_blank">http://www.news.com.au/technology/online/how-the-australian-launch-of-internet-streaming-service-netflix-will-change-your-life/story-fnjwmwrh-1226930807121</a>) that Netflix is coming to Australia next year.</div>
<div><br></div><div>Whether this eventuates or not, someone or something will do it in a big way real soon.</div><div><br></div><div>So, let's say that Netflix does land... this would most likely mean that Amazon Prime will land around the same time too.</div>
<div><br></div><div>My first thought would be that Foxtel Play, Bigpond TV, Quickflix, FetchTV, Freeview, StreamCo and others will die very quickly.</div><div><br></div><div>My second thought would be that the availability of media plays such as Roku 3, Amazon Fire will land and devices like AppleTV (or whatever they might release next week) will see a resurgence.</div>
<div><br></div><div>My third thought, and most significantly to AUSNOG and for discussion, I think that there would be a reasonably significant increase in the average USAGE per user.</div><div><br></div><div>Internet connected media streamers for TV's (and SmartTV's themselves) are still relatively deployed in small numbers. </div>
<div><br></div><div>They are just often too complicated for average users to get working, and of all the houses of the friends I go into, even those in the hi-tech space, media players are still rare... maybe 1 out of 5-8 homes. More have a TV connected pc and watch content, but I am talking about media players.</div>
<div><br></div><div>The takeoff of these services will quickly see (within 6-12 months) a significant number of home having one or multiple devices.</div><div><br></div><div>So... to the issue which will have an impact on most ISPs... I'd be interested on what the list thinks will happen to the average usage per user, contention, backhaul, transit and peering (which I assume they will join).</div>
<div><br></div><div>The other thing that may boost this is the availability of high speed broadband... if NBNCo buys the cable assets of Telstra and Optus, that will give some 1 million homes that NBNCo RSPs have access to... nice.</div>
<div><br></div><div><br></div><div><div><div dir="ltr"><div><br>...Skeeve</div><div><br></div><div><div><b style="font-size:13px;font-family:Calibri">Skeeve Stevens - </b><span style="font-size:13px;font-family:Calibri">eintellego Networks Pty Ltd</span></div>
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