[AusNOG] Getting there from here (was: Re: My Predictions for the ISP Industry)

Joseph Saxton Joe.Saxton at workforce.com.au
Wed Mar 14 13:57:53 EST 2012


Who knows whether IPv4 will exist in the next decade. 

 

Back during the days of IBM Bill gates quoted "640K ought to be enough
for anybody."
http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/b/bill_gates.html

 

A decade later people now store 640GB of data. (not saying everyone).

 

From: ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net
[mailto:ausnog-bounces at lists.ausnog.net] On Behalf Of Christopher
Pollock
Sent: Wednesday, 14 March 2012 13:49
To: ausnog at lists.ausnog.net
Subject: Re: [AusNOG] Getting there from here (was: Re: My Predictions
for the ISP Industry)

 

> I don't for one second believe ipv4 will even look like being vanished
for another decade or more.

 

I don't believe anyone is saying that it will.


--
Christopher Pollock,
io Networks Pty Ltd.

e. chris at ionetworks.com.au
p. 1300 1 2 4 8 16

d. 07 3188 7588

m. 0410 747 765

skype: christopherpollock

http://www.ionetworks.com.au
In-house, Outsourced.





On Wed, Mar 14, 2012 at 12:04 PM, Noel Butler <noel.butler at ausics.net>
wrote:

On Wed, 2012-03-14 at 12:18 +1030, Mark Newton wrote: 

On Wed, Mar 14, 2012 at 11:44:40AM +1000, Noel Butler wrote:
 
 > > Really? In which decade do you think that facebook.com, yahoo.com,
 > > twitter.com and google.com will stop returning an A RR? And what is
 > > their incentive for doing so?
 > > You need to explain why a business would voluntarily stop listening
to
 > > IPv4 traffic and why ISPs would stop carrying it.
 > 
 > +1  
 > The whole world is not going to start using ipv6 overnight just
 > because  .au is out of ipv4, let alone turn off ipv4,
 
I'm a little bit bothered that ISP professionals in 2012 seem to 
seriously believe that an IPv6 deployment involves disabling IPv4.
 
How widespread is this misbelief?
 
I'd fully expect that legacy IPv4 will stick around for the 
forseeable future.  It'll suck, and be heavily multi-NATted, and
fewer and fewer people will use it;  But it isn't going away for
quite a while.
 
 

 

My point was Mark, once we run out of ipv4, long before the rest of the
world, and end users here can only be issued with ipv6, with the
majority of the world not using ipv6, it will be a lonely place, unless
ISP's configure kinda like nat 6 to 4 since 4 is the dominant. 
I don't for one second believe ipv4 will even look like being vanished
for another decade or more.




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